Archive For "December, 2011"

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12/30/2011 Market Outlook (Ascending Tr...

SHORT-TERM: IN WAIT AND SEE MODE, DAILY CHART DOESN’T LOOK BAD THOUGH

As mentioned in Friday’s Trading Signals, the short-term direction is not clear to me, will have to wait until either the top or the bottom line on the SPY 60 min chart broken first. [Read the Rest]

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21 Comments
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12/30/2011 Sentiment Poll

Guys, again, poll time, please vote here. This time the topic is a little bit subtle because officially the Santa Rally ends on Jan 4, 2012, so whether the Santa Rally could end on the plus side depends on Jan 3 and Jan 4, the last 2 days. [Read the Rest]

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1 Comment
Poll
12/30/2011 Portfolio Update

Well, that’s it for this year. The portfolio started on 10/3/2011. Could do much much better if I didn’t “let the winner run”. [Read the Rest]

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2 Comments
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12/30/2011 Trading Signals
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THE SHORT-TERM MODEL BELIEVES THE TREND IS UNCONFIRMED DOWN HOLDING TRAPPED LONG POSITION OVER THE WEEKEND

Hi, guys, Happy New Year! [Read the Rest]

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33 Comments
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12/29/2011 Portfolio Update

TMF buy order filled.

Since the UUP daily low is above the entry price plus it’s a pyramid position so closed all. [Read the Rest]

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No Comments
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12/29/2011 Market Outlook (Retailers ar...

SHORT-TERM: MAYBE RED TOMORROW, BIGGER PICTURE NOT CLEAR WITH WARNING SIGN THOUGH

Temporarily clueless about the short-term trend. Need see which line gets broken first, so let’s wait for a few days. [Read the Rest]

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6 Comments
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12/29/2011 Trading Signals

THE SHORT-TERM MODEL BELIEVES THE TREND IS UNCONFIRMED UP HOLDING TINY LONG POSITION OVERNIGHT

Wow, trading this market does require nothing but imagination. [Read the Rest]

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12 Comments
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12/28/2011 Portfolio Update

Good day for the portfolio although bad day for UCO. To make things worse, I see no rule to out half of the UCO yet. [Read the Rest]

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3 Comments
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12/28/2011 Market Outlook (Down then Up?)

SHORT-TERM: MAY SEE MORE SELLING BUT STILL THINK 12/27 HIGHS WILL BE REVISITED

Three cents:

  1. Likely more selling ahead.
  2. Not sure whether the SPX target 1293, is still valid or not, I mentioned in 12/23 Market Outlook.
  3. [Read the Rest]

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6 Comments
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12/28/2011 Trading Signals

THE SHORT-TERM MODEL BELIEVES THE TREND IS DOWN HOLDING PARTIAL SHORT POSITION OVERNIGHT

The bottom line, most likely we shall see more selling tomorrow. [Read the Rest]

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29 Comments
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12/27/2011 Portfolio Update

TMV buy order not triggered (I know according to the underlying ETF TLT, it should be triggered, but looks like TMV is not exactly the opposite of TLT, neither is TBT), but the system will try to short bond again tomorrow. [Read the Rest]

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1 Comment
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12/27/2011 Market Outlook (Price Volume...

SHORT-TERM: MAY SEE A PULLBACK BUT I DON’T SEE THE TOP YET

I know many people don’t believe this rally, some even blamed me for having no ball (as a bear) because I said more up ahead. [Read the Rest]

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9 Comments
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12/27/2011 Trading Signals

THE SHORT-TERM MODEL BELIEVES THE TREND IS UP HOLDING LONG POSITION OVERNIGHT

Slightly bearish biased toward tomorrow, because both VIX and SPX were up today. [Read the Rest]

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12 Comments
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12/23/2011 Portfolio Update

TMF buy order not filled and no longer valid. The system will try to short bond the next Tuesday. Set TMV buy stop at $75.07, stop loss around $66.00. [Read the Rest]

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1 Comment
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