01/12/2009 Market Recap: Oversold, yes, but not very

Cobra's Market View Private Messaging System shows:

1. Market oversold,but not very oversold. This can be seen by today's Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships where there are 1277 stocks price down on volume down, representing a continuation of the current selling process, and at the same time there are 1126 stocks price down on volume up representing an oversold tension. So I'm not sure if the market will bounce tomorrow.

2. Financials breakdown important support, not good for the overall market as once a breakdown occurs, it tends to ignore any oversold signals for a while.


1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min), RSI oversold, STO and ChiOsc are at an extreme position which probably mean a bounce at least tomorrow morning.


SPX Climactic Volume Indicator from www.decisionpoint.com, red circle, if down again tomorrow, CVI will probably down to an extreme level only seen in Oct and Nov last year, therefore might be a good chance for buying dips (for aggressive traders only).


2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily), overbought, testing resistance, might pullback which may support a possible bounce tomorrow.


3.2.0 CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY Daily), overbought, negative up volume, might pullback which may support a possible bounce tomorrow.


1.0.6 S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index, another intermediate-term sell signal again today. Check chart 0.0.0 Signal Watch and Daily Highlights to get the overall picture of the current trading signals.


5.0.1 Select Sector SPDRs, breakdown the XLF and XLE, both weight the most in all the major indices, not good.


  • Anonymous
  • Cobra
© 2013 Cobra's Market View — All Rights Reserved.