06/11/2009 Market Recap: Head-fake?


Summary:

Expect at least a short-term pullback.

  Trend Momentum Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term Down   Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate Up Neutral  
Short-term Up Neutral  

For 5 days the market has stuck in a range. Although, officially the breakout direction is unknown but since the intraday breakout today failed to hold, which feels like a head-fake to me, therefore now I’m inclined to think that the real breakout direction will be on the downside.

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals, 5 consecutive reversal like bars. In normal cases, 1 to 2 reversal bars are enough to lead a trend reversal. Now we have 5, if the “highly praised” candlestick pattern analysis is of a little little use, SPY should pullback soon.

SPYShortTerm

2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily), 2 “open low close high” reversal bars, VIX may rise from here which is not good for the stock market.

VIXDaily 

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min), lots of negative divergences.

SPY60min 

2.8.0 SPX:CPCE, whenever CPCE < 0.56, the next day was not very pleasant.

SPXvsCPCE 

2.3.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume, the normalized ratio at bottom is way too high. This chart may look strange but in reality, it’s a very reliable indicator which I don’t think should be neglected.

NATVvsNYTV

7.7.9 Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships, for 2 days in a row, we have bearish price volume relationships. I don’t think they should be neglected as well.

RUA

13 Comments on "06/11/2009 Market Recap: Head-fake?"
  1. Comment left on:
    June 11, 2009 at 11:18 pm
    Erik says:
  2. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 12:01 am
    Richard168 says:
  3. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 1:04 am
    Anonymous says:
  4. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 4:26 am
    Schweizer says:
  5. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 9:24 am
    Cobra says:
  6. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 2:17 pm
    Anonymous says:
  7. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 2:19 pm
    Cobra says:
  8. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 5:57 pm
    Anonymous says:
  9. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 6:28 pm
    Cobra says:
  10. Comment left on:
    June 12, 2009 at 6:29 pm
    Cobra says:
  11. Comment left on:
    June 13, 2009 at 1:28 am
    Anonymous says:
  12. Comment left on:
    June 13, 2009 at 1:33 am
    Cobra says:
  13. Comment left on:
    June 13, 2009 at 2:25 am
    Anonymous says:
Comments have been disabled here. This discussion has ended.
© 2013 Cobra's Market View — All Rights Reserved.