07/01/2009 Market Recap: Stalled at MA20


Cobra's Market View Private Messaging System shows:


Summary:

Expect at least a short-term pullback staring as early as tomorrow.

A Head and Shoulders Top could be in the play.

  Trend Momentum Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term Down   Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate Down Neutral  
Short-term Up Neutral  

Short-term, SPX might have not much room left on the upside, even it has already turned down.

1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min), quite a few reasons on this chart.

1. A strong resistance area ahead formed by 10 trading days long consolidation.

2. Today is the end of 13 trading day cycle therefore it could be a turn date.

3. Bearish Rising Wedge.

4. Lots of negative divergences.

5. 8 unfilled gaps.

6. The rebound hit exactly Fib 61.8.

SPY60min

3.1.1 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP 30 min), Bullish Falling Wedge plus lots of positive divergences, US$ could rebound which is not good for the stock market.

UUP30min 

Intraday model from www.sentimentrader.com, overbought.

IntradayModel 

Intermediate-term, a Head and Shoulders Top could be in the play.

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals, so far SPY stalled under MA20, 2 days up were on decreased volume while the only 1 down day was on increased volume.

SPYShortTerm 

7.7.9 Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships, this proves the above mentioned up on decreased volume scenario: Both Monday and today had 12xx stocks price up volume down.

RUA 

2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily), 3 reversal bars in a row, if the candlestick pattern is of a little little use, VIX should rebound now, this is not good for the stock market.

VIXDaily

Also don’t forget, VIX had another new low today, this is a negative divergence.

SPXVIXDivergenceWatch

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