08/14/2009 Market Recap: ISEE Indices and ETFs Only Index Over 200


Summary:

Could be a turning point whenever ISEE Indices and ETFs Only Index is over 200.

Intraday chart pattern argues for a potential upside breakout.

Several charts argue that it might not be the time to take aggressive long positions.

  Trend Momentum Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term Up    
Intermediate Up Neutral  
Short-term Down* Neutral  
My Emotion No idea   Neither believe this bull nor want to be a hero to short against it.

As mentioned in the Friday’s After Bell Quick Summary, I wasn’t sure if the ISEE index final reading was correct or not. And now, I’m still not sure, just I cannot wait anymore. The following 2 charts are my simple research about whenever ISEE Indices and ETFs Only Index over 100 and over 200. For the cases over 100, I’ve been mentioning for quite several times in the past, it usually means a down day within 2 days. There’re not lots of cases over 200, so difficult to draw a conclusion. Just since 2006, it seems that over 200 usually means very close to a turning point, which logically seems convincing because a sudden CALL volume surge should mean that big money sees something ahead which we retailers don't know yet. Besides, I know several cycles are arguing for a potential turning point next week, combining with the Friday’s unusual ISEE readings, it doesn’t look like a coincidence, does it? Well, let’s wait and see.

ISEEOver100Watch ISEEOver200Watch

I expect a green Monday. From 1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min) and 1.1.5 PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ 30 min), I see Symmetrical Triangle and Ascending Triangle, they both have upside breakout potentials.

SPY30min QQQQ30min

Several other charts needs keep eyes on. Overall, my feelings are that it might not be the right time to take aggressive long positions.

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily), as expected, US$ rebounded. There’s a proprietary indicator (copyright protected, I cannot show here), by the way, arguing that US$ might have bottomed which is not good for the stock market.

UUPDaily

5.0.5 S&P Sector Bullish Percent Index I (Weekly), 5.0.6 S&P Sector Bullish Percent Index II (Weekly), quite a few most bullish ever readings. For your conveniences I’ve put all the overbought readings on the same chart. This chart is the main reason why I said it might not be the right time to take aggressive long positions.

BPIWeekly

7.3.6 Weekly STO Trading Signals, weekly signal worked pretty well since the end of 2007. It argues for SELL now.

WeeklyTradingSignals

7.3.7 NYSI Trading Signals, seems like since 2007, whenever NASI signaled before NYSI, NYSI would follow. Now NASI signaled SELL (need further confirmation though), will NYSI follow again this time?

NYSITradingSignals

7.7.9 Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationships, price down volume up last Friday. It looks to me that the recent price-volume relationships were all bearish.

RUA

19 Comments on "08/14/2009 Market Recap: ISEE Indices and ETFs Only Index Over 200"
  1. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 1:15 pm
    Peter says:
  2. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 1:39 pm
    fortune8 says:
  3. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 2:02 pm
    Anonymous says:
  4. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 3:30 pm
    Anonymous says:
  5. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 6:50 pm
    Anonymous says:
  6. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 9:05 pm
    Cobra says:
  7. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 9:24 pm
    MACDaddy says:
  8. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 9:31 pm
    Vivian says:
  9. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 10:28 pm
    Cobra says:
  10. Comment left on:
    August 16, 2009 at 11:27 pm
    John says:
  11. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 12:38 am
    Anonymous says:
  12. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 6:37 am
    Anonymous says:
  13. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 7:28 am
    Anton says:
  14. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 8:33 am
    Anonymous says:
  15. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 8:56 am
    Chris Lovell says:
  16. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 9:21 am
    Anonymous says:
  17. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 9:22 am
    Anonymous says:
  18. Comment left on:
    August 17, 2009 at 12:58 pm
    Chris Lovell says:
  19. Comment left on:
    August 18, 2009 at 2:58 am
    Anonymous says:
Comments have been disabled here. This discussion has ended.
© 2013 Cobra's Market View — All Rights Reserved.