Quick Start Guide

Cobra's Market View Private Messaging System shows:

This site mainly provides analysis for S&P 500 index. Rarely an individual stock is mentioned. It’s the original technical analysis, no news, no fundamentals and no Elliott Wave.

This site is not small, the Alexa rank is below 50K and the monthly absolutely unique IP visits are round 50K too, hardly could you find another single person TA site matching it, so there must be a reason for it to be popular. Please don’t easily give it up at the very first few glances, give it a little more time you may find it really helpful as the other thousands of daily visitors do.

Quick Reference Card

Swing trader with no TA knowledge, Non-Stop model is your direction guide which can be found in the daily Trading Signals report.

Swing  trader with a little intraday experiences, Cobra Impulse System is your direction guide which can be found in the daily Trading Signals report.

Short-term trader, Short-term Model and Demo Account are your guide which can also be found in the daily Trading Signals report.

The core report is the daily Market Outlook which is for experienced traders only. If you’re a beginner and really determined to learn TA, it’s also a good learning material but remember it doesn’t help your trade before you could fully understand what it reports. The report is written in both English and Chinese. The Chinese translation follows right after the English contents.

Daily Portfolio Update is your direction guide for Russell 2000, gold, oil, bond and US Dollar. It’s not a typical position trading however, as sometimes switch direction can be fast depends on the market volatility.

If you’re day trader, look no further in the daily Intraday Comments. The Twitter widget on the right side of the home page provides all the intraday updates automatically to save you from keeping refreshing browser. Twitter user can follow @CobraMarketView directly.

If you’re long term investor or all you care are your 401K or RRSP, here is a simple idea, but generally this site is not for you.

The Main Page


What you don’t get?

If you’re looking for a simple buy or sell with always very affirmative tone and some hot stock picks that promise to make you rich overnight, this site is not for you. If you’re looking for someone who stays in a fixed direction for a long long time, this site is not for you. Cobra is neither bull nor bear, it’s a snake that can twist into any direction the market goes at any time. Trading is difficult, 95% of people will likely lose money, perhaps big money, it’s like walking through a mine-field, most guys get killed, so if you cannot invest tons of time, tenacity and talent, instead hoping some advices could save you from all the troubles, then this site is not for you.

A Little History

I started the market report in Chinese in year 2007 at Hutong9.net. At that time, although I’ve traded for many years but I didn't know I have the talent to write market reports. In a short time the site gained popularity and grew into a big site, then I realized that I have some talent, so I started an English blog at cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com in July 2008. I don't remember when I began to comment intraday, but again it was very successful in Hutong9.net, so in February 2011, I started the English intraday comment at bbs.cobrasmarketview.com. And in Oct 2011, I combined all my reports (Chinese and English, daily reports and intraday comments) into www.cobrasmarketview.com.

Need more information?

For more information, check under Tutorial menu.

To read the premium contents, you need register only one ID. However if you want to comment here and/or in our intraday forum, you may need register another two IDs, although all the IDs can be exactly the same. Check 3 Different Systems we’re using for more details.

Please make sure your read the DISCLAIMER. All the contents provided are for information only, it’s not an investment advice.

Please do not hesitate to Contact Us if you have further questions or suggestions.

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  • Anonymous

    Cobra, I read your Quick Start guide and the chart that highlights the performance of SPY vs. SSO. That go me to think, first glance without in depth analysis, that it would make sense for a long term investor to buy SPY and short SSO as a hedge?

    • Yes, everyone knows to short leveraged fund, better to short SPXU or TZA or SQQQ instead of long UPRO, TNA and TQQQ. The question is: since everyone knows, you think what your broker would do? Yes, when trend changes, you’re not allowed to short and your current short may be forced to cover.

      So for long-term, don’t even think about shorting those stuff. Money never drops from sky. 🙂

  • Anonymous

    As always, thank you for the guidance.  

    If one were to choose to follow the short-term model (I would like to trade if for a while on my simulated account, for educational purposes), would you suggest taking a position after hours (when your trading signals report comes out), or at the open the following trading day?

    • if you can get better price in AH, you can try. Generally you should use it as a directional guide. i.e. don’t short when it’s clear long and vice versa. When it holds both long and short (like this weekend), the trend might be in transition stage therefore about to change.

  • Hey Cobra…can you add http://www.zentrader.ca to your new blogroll – I just updated your new url on my site.



    • I’ve notified the site admin, she’ll check. I’m out of the league now.

      • thx a bunch. great redesign and your info is always top notch.

      • Is there a way I can contact the site admin as it’s still not added?

  • Cobra, thank you for this. I like the simple long-term approach for 401K investing – wish I had this 10years ago…

  • Hi Cobra.
    Another great report.
    Here is our SPX EOD WEEKLY: our WEEKLY TIMING MODEL went to a SELL last friday 04112011.http://followmarketrend.blogspot.com/2011/11/spx-weekly-ind-weekly-timing-model-went.htmlNice week to all.

  • Anonymous

    Hope you enjoy.

  • thanks cobra laoda

  • Anonymous

    Hi Cobra,
    Thanks for sharing your excellent work day after day. I’ve been looking at your long term elder chart 4.9.1 for 401k investments.  Can you tell us why you don’t recommend buying a bond ETF for USA accounts when RSP is sold?  Looks like you could have done well buying something like SHY (1-3 yr treasuries).

    • right, SHY is a good idea. Originally, I paid attention to only TLT which is too volatile.

  • ES is at a crossroads.   It is actually coldest right before the
    dawn.   I used to ride a motorcycle to work, and when I used to go in
    early to get a good workout in before work (I would ride at around 4AM),
     it was way warmer than when I went in for normal work schedule (riding
    around 6AM).

    And so it is with market turns,


  • Do not fight the system. Executes your ordersExcellent movements in SPX. Swing to the boyh sides. Dancing whith my and my system orders.Make happy my money…http://spx500.blogspot.com/

  • 729220527

    I’m not going to pretend I was a fan of the T90 Laser III’s, but I think this time the designers have really done a great job. Despite utilising design aspects from both the Vapor and Tiempo models, the boot has an individual style of its own and really stands out. The two release colourways provide good options for both fans of contemporary and classic boot styling and after having seen some of the future colour options I’m enthused by the direction Nike has gone with the new T90.

  • Chris Guirguis

    Hey Cobra, any reason you don’t use Eliot waves? Not saying you should, just wondering what your philosophy on it is.

    • I just use very basic “overlap” rule. I think EW requires lots of experiences therefore not very subjective and not easy to grasp. It’s just personal preferences, nothing major.

  • Good night.

    This diambular SPX in recent times has been extremely positive in terms of the trading system.

    It is amazing how there are people who spend hours in front of a monitor waiting to try to know where the market goes, the taste of what and whom, blaming this and that or the bad lines of a graph, or a news macabre some of rating agencies.

    Demonization of the market. Anyone believe that?

    It takes 2 to 3 minutes per day. Anyone not rich, but has no opportunity cost of time, stress or eye like blindness.

    Leave the frame. Long entry now 1236.9.
    The rest of the market does for you.



  • SAN

    S&P 500 Weekend update: http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2011/11/s-500-weekend-update.html

  • Hi Cobra Hi traders
    Remember SPX EOD WEEKLY we posted 3 weeks ago..04/11/2011″our WEEKLY TIMING MODEL” went to a SELL  04/11/2011. Close this week 95 pts below sell signal from 04/11/2011.
    Happy consistent trading.

  • Comments are welcome, but please don’t post anything not related to the contents, such as your view of the current market or links to your own web site. All irrelevant comments will be removed. Thanks.

  • SAN


    • Please don’t post your link under this post. Thanks. See my comment below. 

      • SAN

        I have edited the comment. You can remove it from the board

  • Darah

    Hi guys,
    I have a new blog, and I will be doing daily market videos if anyone is interested. It educates you on technical analysis. If you have time I would really appreciate it if you could check it out.

  • Hi Cobra, I’ve read your getting started guide. Am I correct in understanding that the three login systems are for intraday forum commenting,  commenting here, and paid content on this site in the future, separately? Am I correct in understanding that intraday forum will always be free to read and no need to register/pay if not going to comment there? I want to make sure you refer to what I think you refer to. What content specifically will be paid-only in the future, the “Market Outlook”, the “Portfolio Update”, the “Trading Signals”, or all of the above? Will paid members be briefed with the reasons behind the “Portfolio” and the “Trading Signals”, or are they all the same which are what you state in the “Market Outlook” (you see, I’m still a little confused about the structure/relations between your series)? How soon will you make this site paid-only? Thanks.

    • Sorry, one more question. Since I believe you headquarter in Canada, and I’m only interested in US markets, will you/this site always have a focus on SPX (and related markets)? I need to know that before making a long-term commitment to this site.

      • Lisa, good questions, thanks.

        1. You’re correct about 3 login systems. So you need pay to read all the contents of this site soon.
        2. Intraday forum will be free. No need to register if you don’t want to comment.
        3. All the daily reports in this site will be for members only, so it includes “Market Outlook”, “Trading Signals” and “Portfolio Update” and all the future addon reports.
        4. I won’t brief reasons for buy/sell signals behind “Trading Signals” and “Portfolio Update” because they’re mechanical signals. In short, what you see now is what you see after you paid. I’m sorry if you feel offended, let me pretend to be a salesman a little bit here: It’s just $10 a month, you can check how much the other site would charge you for all those reports. I was kind of forced to ask for money so $10 is actually the best I can compromise for not losing too many readers simply because I was forced to ask for money.
        5. I will gradually lock in the daily posts after a test post and fixed all the feedbacks on this test post, so hopefully the lock will start from the next week. You can check 12/09 Market Outlook for the detailed plan.
        6. I trade mostly US market. I actually don’t have much Canadian dollars, so don’t worry. 

        Thanks again for all the good questions because they make this quick start guide much clear.

        • You are very welcome. No, I’m not offended, not in the sense you think. As you can see from my previous questions as well that I’m just confused and need clarification. And what you stated here made it very clear. Now I can make decisions based on facts, not what I assume.

          As for the mechanical signals, frankly I’m always (and being told to be) wary  of “black box” systems. Because if I can’t evaluate a system thoroughly, I can’t rely on it for actual trading. As you very well know, doubting your own system (or the system you intend to use) is never good for trading. Your keeping them black boxed, although I don’t doubt that you have very good reasons and it’s really up to you ultimately, will keep me from trusting/relying on them; this, really, is my problem, not your problem per se. That said, I still feel very comfortable to take what you say very seriously because of the excellent work you do with the “Market Outlook” series, because of the thoroughness you have demonstrated, and I have full faith that you will continue with this level of quality, if not even more, after you make it paid-only.

          • Ok, just signed up. I know you are testing the system. Is there a way to provide some feedback? For example, which report have you locked, if you have, so I can check it both logged in and unlogged in? Or are there other tests I should look out for?

            • Thanks but I haven’t started the public test yet. I planed today but looks like too late now after I finished my report and answered a few mails. 

              And thanks again for registering!

          • Thanks, Lisa. I know exactly what you mean. I’ll see if I can do to put a little confidences in you. But it may take awhile (as I’m busy now. I have lots of plan to back test this and that) and at the mean time since you see the results every day, so you’re building up the confidences too. 

            However, no matter what, since it’s after all the other people’s system, not your own, so you will never trade with the same confidences as your own system, so you should basically have your own system in the long run. My idea might help building your own systems. You could start with Non Stop which ideas are openly given out and you can see all the past history in my public chart list and I do think it’s a good system as long as you can fine tune it.

            And thanks for all the kind words said, really.

            • Thanks for understanding. Yes, I totally agree with you, that everyone needs his/her own system. Knowing that you are like-minded, and that you understand us customers’ needs, actually is putting more confidence in me, not necessarily to act on your signals just yet, but definitely making me more hopeful and more confident that signing up is a good decision. I’ll check out Non Stop. Thanks for pointing it out to me.

              • Thanks and you’re welcome! 🙂

  • Hi Peter,

    Sent a certificate to your hotmail account (peter_y_pan) in appreciation of the traffic sent to my site from your blogroll in 2011

    Best wishes for 2012,

    • Hi, Declan, thanks. I cannot believe you’re doing this almost every year, I don’t know what to say, but thanks. My admin finally agreed to add you into the blogroll of this site, hopefully that’s enough to express my gratitude. With the site going private soon, I’ll sure lose the number 1 visited status the next year so the blogroll won’t be as powerful as before but still that’s my gratitude in return.

      Best withes for you too!

      • Cheers Peter,

        It’s the least I can do – it’s still a bargain for me!

  • Anonymous

    BUY Signal 12-15  9:40 am EThttp://screencast.com/t/fWSugXMLwz

    • Please don’t post unrelated contents here. See my other comments below. Thanks.

      • no links to other blog sites allowed, i guess.
        i know someone at another site, who didn’t open any new longs today. that’s big news when he does that.

        • It’s long story. Links were allowed before but a few guys kept advertising their links several times a day every day, so other visitors got unhappy about this. Eventually I had to disallow the links, especially this post, as I said below, unrelated links or contents are now allowed under this posts. Besides, when you comment here, your avatar has the link to your own site, so really it’s not necessary to post a separate link.

          • i don’t have many readers,so i hope i have your same problem someday.kudo’s

            • Thanks for the understandings. I really mean it. 

          • I would like to advertise my forecast service – I get predictions right from my grandparents – she say “it will rain” and he says “no way” and they are always right!
            Do I have your permission?

            • Check my daily live update here: http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/viewforum.php?f=2

              After a few days then tell me when I say “not up then down” and where. The calls are made through out the entire trading day, everyday, and thousands of readers would know in the next 10 minutes whether I’m right or wrong. If I always say, hey, either up or down, then you bet nobody would be there. If I’m mostly wrong, then you bet nobody would be there either.

              • Dude – relax – I was not referring to you (BTW – you are one of the good ones) – don’t oyu have any sence of humor left after been badmouthed by a lot of losers?

                Hope you did call “short China after New Year” – then I will take my hat of completely (it is already off in my honor 🙂


                Trade well

                • Thanks. I wasn’t pissed off by your comment, I was just trying to show you the fact.

                  I didn’t call to short China. The latest update was on 02/26 where I said the pullback would be bought. Later the pullback indeed was bought (much later than I expected though) but that rebound failed to make a new high which was a bad sign. I didn’t have time to follow up my call so didn’t say anything after 02/26, but frankly, I’d call intermediate-term top was in if I did follow up. I couldn’t know $SSEC would drop 6% in a single day though. The 06/24 sharp reversal bar looks good, hopefully $SSEC could follow up today.

                  This is where I called on 02/26: http://www.hutong9.net/data/attachment/forum/201302/26/225519vqrn58jvvoheii1s.png

                  And this is the chart now.

                • Here’s the chart now:

  • oh wow, my first visit here, and it’s already going subscription. congrats.

    • Thanks. 🙂

      • ScottyS is a long time commenter at another site i visit.
        i see he was flagged…
        i’m guessing He tried posting his website link here. LOL.
        i don’t have that policy at my site, never did , never will.
        I’m a firm believer in FREE SPEECH on the financial blogs!!!
        I need all the help I can get!!!!
        I take it you hold the opposite true, too bad…

        • I saw your original comment, you removed that, thanks. See my other reply. You welcome everyone to comment and post links, so did I, but there’s always the other side of the story if you knew what happened.

  • Pedro Pereira

    A good business year for you all.

    Very good year for all of 2012.
    2011 in terms of excellent results.
    Alta was a year and downs, but the finale arecompensa appears.
    There were about 44% of profit. Not bad for an annual return of a simple trading system.


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  • Great! Thanks for this!

  • Richard Gramlow


    • See attached. You should use RSP:$CPCE as the main chart, then set the chart hidden, put the SPY behind the price. Moving average parameters are for references, they don’t make huge difference when trying different numbers.

  • Isha Nalierwala

    Hi, i find your blog very interesting.
    I use Elliot Wave on Nifty and post it on elliottwaveindia.blogspot.com. Can
    you include my blog in your blog roll and ill include your’s as well. You can
    get in touch with me on ashishkyal@gmail.com

  • I am going out on a limb and say: August 2nd or August 5th is an intermediate top with buy point August 22-27

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