The bottom line, the short-term trend is up but I hold no long position overnight.

I wonder if you still remember the setup for the last 2 trading days of each month since August 2009? Today actually should be an up day, so no surprise. Now let’s see if the rest part plays out: Sell short at today’s close and cover before 09/30 close, your odds of winning something WERE 12 out of 13.