12/13/2011 Trading Signals


THE SHORT-TERM MODEL BELIEVES THE TRND IS DOWN HOLDING BOTH LONG (TRAPPED) AND SHORT OVERNIGHT

The bottom line, I believe the selling isn’t over yet.

I have no idea about tomorrow, just in case you wan to know, when both VIX and SPX were down for 2 days in a row, buy at close today and sell at close tomorrow, you’d have 67% chances. On the other hand, when SPX down 0.8%+ while VIX is down too, short at close today and cover at the close tomorrow, you’d have 65% chances. So certainly contradictory statistics but if you read both charts carefully, you’d see in most cases, no matter up or down tomorrow, chances are more selling ahead.

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9 Comments on "12/13/2011 Trading Signals"
  1. Comment left on:
    December 13, 2011 at 6:08 pm
    Anonymous says:

    thx,ding

  2. Comment left on:
    December 13, 2011 at 7:14 pm
    uempel says:

    BPNYA down 0.64%, BPCOMPQ down 1.10%, BPNDX down 3.45%, BPSPX down 0.86%, BPOEX down 1.52% and BPINDU flat. As to the sectors: BPENER (Utilites), BPHEAL (Healthcare) and BPMATE (Materials) were all down more than 3%.

    Bearish: BPSPX has been rejected at 62 and is rolling over, SPX failed to break the 200 DMA at 1264, cu was down again on Tuesday by 5.03%.

    As to the bullish signals – support DMA 377 at 1224.19 held…

  3. Comment left on:
    December 13, 2011 at 8:01 pm
    BB Finance says:

    Any idea about the seasonality of the Monday after Dec OE?

    • Comment left on:
      December 13, 2011 at 8:14 pm
      Cobra says:

      No

  4. Comment left on:
    December 13, 2011 at 9:01 pm
    Anonymous says:

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    • Comment left on:
      December 13, 2011 at 10:40 pm
      Anonymous says:

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      • Comment left on:
        December 14, 2011 at 11:00 am
        Anonymous says:

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        • Comment left on:
          December 14, 2011 at 11:09 am
          Anonymous says:

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  5. .
    December 13, 2011 at 9:19 pm

    […] already mentioned in today’s Trading Signals, SPX down 0.8%+ while VIX also down, chances are more selling ahead, no to mention that tomorrow is […]

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